A group of Indiana loggers has felled the mightiest redwood in the forest, THE Ohio State University.
And my other wish also came true: lowly, unranked, five-loss Duke won the ACC championship, clearing the way for my sentimental rooting favorite, James Madison, to get the 12th seed. Of course I don’t expect them to beat Oregon, but stranger things have happened. I hope they at least make a good showing. Oregon is favored by 22!
So here is how things fall out for the tournament seeds:
1 Indiana.
2 Ohio State
3 Georgia
If it were my call, I would have dropped Ohio State to 3, because Georgia has now defeated every opponent they faced. (Their one loss was to Alabama, and they got their revenge with a three-touchdown victory.) That said, the difference between 2 and 3 is not really meaningful. There is a big difference between 4 and 5 (only one gets a first-round bye)
4. Texas Tech
5. Oregon
This year, the difference between 6 and 7 is aiso very important, because #6 Ole Miss is a 17-point favorite against Tulane (and they already beat them by 35 earlier this year), but #7 A&M has a tough opponent in Miami. (The Aggies are favored by just four in the opening line.)
6. Mississippi
7. Texas A&M
8. Oklahoma
Major controversy: the committee leapfrogged Miami over Notre Dame! Tough call. That’s hard to justify because the Irish were rated higher by the same committee last week – and both teams were idle, so nothing could have changed.
9. Alabama
10. Miami
Well, nothing objective.
I’ll take a guess: Duke’s victory left the ACC without a team in the tournament, so the committee promoted Miami to remedy that. If that is the rationale, and I can’t see any other possible justification, that makes it more of a political decision than an objective evaluation. That’s a tough beat for the Irish. Notre Dame is rated #3 in the nation by the computers, but will watch the tournament on TV like the rest of us, as the best team excluded from the tournament.
For what it’s worth, the AP poll kept both Notre Dame and Miami, and booted Alabama.
Meanwhile, the 11 and 12 seeds allow some weaker conference champions into the tournament.
11. Tulane
12. James Madison
They could just take the top twelve teams, but holding at least one place for the Group of Five teams is something that the executives feel to be a necessary compromise. Is it ideal that Tulane and James Madison are in while teams like Texas and Notre Dame are out? Nah. If Notre Dame played Tulane on neutral turf, they would be favored by three touchdowns. It would be more if they played at home.
But that’s the way the cookie crumbles.
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